Whatever market you are considering, they all go through the same phases. They rise, peak, descend, and then bottom out. The next market cycle starts when the previous one is over. The issue is that most traders and investors either overlook that markets are cyclical and fail to prepare for the end of the present market period. Another great difficulty is that it is virtually impossible to determine the top or bottom of a cycle, even if you acknowledge that they exist. To maximize your trading and investing profits in the cycle analysis stock market, you must have a strong understanding of cycles. Here are a market cycle's four main components and how to identify each.
Accumulation
When the adverse non linear
indicators are at their depth and traders are rushing to sell their holdings,
prices are often much lower when the accumulation period begins. The decline
starts to lose steam as value investors and smart money purchase those valued
securities.
Mark-Up Phase
The market has been
stable up until this point and is starting to rise. The majority are joining
the bandwagon early with the cycle analysis tools. This group includes
technicians who know that the market's direction and sentiment have changed due
to the higher lows and higher highs the market is making.
Distribution
As each buying order
is promptly matched with a selling order during the distribution stage, there
is an equal power distribution between buyers and sellers, and prices
frequently range for a considerable amount of time. Prices start to improve
when the bullish market attitude that pushed them higher during the mark-up
stage starts to fade and turn neutral.
Downtrend
Investors begin to
sell their positions and lock profits as cycle analysis becomes more
adverse, adding to the existing selling pressure. A trend in the market is soon
established as other market participants quickly follow, driving prices lower.
Some market players who purchased at the height of the mark-up or distribution
stage continue to hang onto their assets in the hope that prices will climb
even if prices are beginning to form new lower lows and lower highs.
Bottom Line
Traders who thoroughly
understand the various market cycle stages have a significant competitive
advantage. A trader can profit by tracking the overall trend and selling their
holdings after the uptrend shows symptoms of slowing down. The above listed are
the phases of the marketing cycle you can consider.
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