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Wednesday, 2 March 2022

Business Cycle Forecasts

 Typically, one dominant cycle will remain active for a longer period and vary around the core parameters compared to other cycles. As real cyclic motions are not perfectly even, the period varies slightly from one cycle to the next because of changing physical environmental factors. This dynamic behavior is valid for financial market cycles as well. As we move forward in time, every bar signifies an update of the expected turning point by a reassessment of the current state of the dominant cycle length and phase. This dynamic Business Cycle Forecasts based on the actual state of the dominant cycle provides information about the time and direction of the next turning point.

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