Business Cycle Forecasts

 The Dynamic Cycle Explorer works on the assumption that cycles are static over time, which is misleading for trading purposes. Dominant cycles morph over time because of the inherent nature of the parameters of length and phase. Typically, one dominant cycle will remain active for a longer period and vary around the core parameters compared to other cycles. So, Business Cycle Forecasts are not an easy task. As a trader, you can consider using the right tool from a leading platform, such as "When To Trade". This dynamic behavior is valid for financial market cycles as well. We can apply our dynamic cycle tools to this dataset and see if we can detect important dominant cycles that forecast financial stress extremes.