We can apply our dynamic cycle tools to this dataset and see if we can detect important dominant cycles that forecast financial stress extremes. The Dynamic Cycle Explorer can automatically detect the current active dominant cycle and track the current phasing to forecast the next expected turn. You can also use the Dominant Cycle Charting tool. Typically, one dominant cycle will remain active for a longer period and vary around the core parameters compared to other cycles. As real cyclic motions are not perfectly even, the period varies slightly from one cycle to the next because of changing physical environmental factors.
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